Quality Over Quantity: The Missing Signal In Jobs Data That Explains The Vibecession

Summary

Quality Over Quantity: The Missing Signal In Jobs Data That Explains The Vibecession Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Recession Indicators Turned Green. Job Quality Hasn’t. October’s jobs report pushed the headline recession indicators back to green, but “labor hoarding” explains why the earnings boom still isn’t reaching full-time workers. Key Takeaways S&P 500 earnings are on track to grow 31.4% in the third quarter, yet fewer Americans work full-time today than in September 2025. October payrolls beat every forecast at 165,000, but full-time employment, at 49.0% of…

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