Here's how well Kalshi predicted the midterms

1 source1 article First seen 9 hours ago Updated 9 hours ago United States Truth score 44

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Summary

Prediction market Kalshi allowed users to trade on the outcome of last week's midterm elections. CBS News' Julia Ingram crunched the numbers and reports on how accurate the site's predictions were.

Description from CBS News.

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CBS News Leans left Factuality: High US 9 hours ago
Here's how well Kalshi predicted the midterms
Prediction market Kalshi allowed users to trade on the outcome of last week's midterm elections. CBS News' Julia Ingram crunched the numbers and reports on how accurate the site's predictions were.

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Truth score

44/100Limited corroboration

Independent outlets: 1
Source reliability: 82/100
Sides of the spectrum covering it: 1/3
Propaganda risk: 0/100

How well the story is corroborated by independent, reliable outlets across the spectrum. Not a fact-check of each claim. How the truth score works

Coverage by lean

Left 100%100%

Left: 1
Centre: 0
Right: 0
Not rated: 0

How lean is counted

Source quality

Average reliability: 82/100 (High)
Low-credibility outlets: 0%
State media: 0%
Opinion pieces: 0%

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Where the coverage comes from

United States1

In this story

Julia Ingram

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Here's how well Kalshi predicted the midterms

Summary

Who is covering this

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