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Kalshi and Polymarket claim 98% accuracy in calling midterm races

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Summary

A New York Times analysis found prediction markets did no better than election forecasts for most of the race

Description from Quartz.

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  1. Quartz Leans left Factuality: High US
    Kalshi and Polymarket claim 98% accuracy in calling midterm races

    A New York Times analysis found prediction markets did no better than election forecasts for most of the race

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