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Prediction markets are banking on Democrats to win the Senate

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Image from Quartz

Summary

Kalshi traders gave Democrats a 74% chance of winning the Senate on the eve of the midterms, up from 63% on Oct. Harry Enten's final CNN forecast gives Democrats a 92% chance of winning the House and 71% chance of taking the Senate in Tuesday's US midterms. Covered by 3 outlets: 1 lean left, 2 are centre.

Automated summary picked from the outlets' own descriptions.

Who is covering this

  1. Quartz Leans left Factuality: High US
    Prediction markets are banking on Democrats to win the Senate

    Kalshi traders gave Democrats a 74% chance of winning the Senate on the eve of the midterms, up from 63% on Oct. 2

  2. Google News Center Factuality: High US
    Prediction market traders now see nearly 75% chance of Democrats winning the Senate - CNBC

    Prediction market traders now see nearly 75% chance of Democrats winning the Senate CNBC The 2026 midterms are tomorrow and the final polls are here. Which party has a better chance of winning? Yahoo America Votes The New York Times What can Democrats actually do if they win...

  3. Ibtimes Center Factuality: Mostly factual GB
    Analyst Gives Democrats 92% Chance of Winning House, 71% of Taking Senate: 'I Never Thought I'd See the Day'

    Harry Enten's final CNN forecast gives Democrats a 92% chance of winning the House and 71% chance of taking the Senate in Tuesday's US midterms.

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